Ghana's Center-Right Polling 53% In December Election

The swing-region of Brong-Ahafo is trending NPP

International investors are observing Ghana's upcoming presidential election very closely. From the Daily Guide (Ghana): "An international research group, with a special focus on African capital and commodities market, based in the United States, has predicted a first round victory for the opposition New Patriotic Party (NPP) in the December 7 [presidential] poll."

The article continues: "'DaMina Frontier Markets elections statistical model, and our on-the-ground surveys, predict first round opposition center-right New Patriotic Party (NPP) win, and a return to opposition of the now ruling center-left National Democratic Congress (NDC) after only four years in power,' the report stated. In what must be sweet music in the ears of followers of the nation’s largest opposition party, DaMina said, 'the NPP are also poised to re-capture a majority of seats in Ghana’s new 275-seat Parliament."

More: "According to the data analyzed by DaMina, national turn-out for the December poll would hover around 69 per cent certainly lower than 2008 turn-out. According to DaMina, the NPP would win 52 to 53 per cent of the popular vote in the first round, with the NDC winning not more than 48 per cent. The victory swing is likely to be between three and six per cent, amounting to un-surmountable 300,000 to 600,000 votes. The research forecasts doom for third parties. In the opinion of DaMina, the combined votes of Dr. Paa Kwesi Nduom, Hassan Ayariga and Dr. Abu Sakara Foster may muster not more than three per cent between them."